Duke
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 90.9632Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 14- 6 212 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 10-17 215 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 13-14 221 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 15-14 225 H East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 18-10 228 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 16- 7 304 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 17- 6 308 A Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 10-11 314 H Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 16-14 317 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 12-14 321 A Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 15- 9 323 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 17-13 329 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 15-10 404 H Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 9-10 411 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 5-17 416 H North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 5-11 422 A North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 11-15
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A High Point 14- 6 8 8 0.32
212 A Pittsburgh 10-17 -7 1 --- -7.89
215 H Johns Hopkins 13-14 -1 -2 0.89
221 A Richmond 15-14 1 0 1.38
225 H East Carolina 18-10 8 9 -0.80
228 H California 16- 7 9 10 -0.52
304 H Boston College 17- 6 11 0 +++ 11.40
308 A Stanford 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.32
314 H Louisville 16-14 2 6 -- -4.40
317 H Harvard 12-14 -2 4 -- -5.53
321 A Virginia Tech 15- 9 6 2 + 3.53
323 A Elon 17-13 4 7 - -2.65
329 A Florida State 15-10 5 7 -1.84
404 H Syracuse 9-10 -1 -1 -0.24
411 A Clemson 5-17 -12 -5 --- -6.86
416 H North Carolina 5-11 -6 -8 1.57
422 A North Carolina 11-15 -4 -10 +++ 6.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A Pittsburgh 10-17 -7 1 --- -7.89 411 A Clemson 5-17 -12 -5 --- -6.86 314 H Louisville 16-14 2 6 -- -4.40 317 H Harvard 12-14 -2 4 -- -5.53 323 A Elon 17-13 4 7 - -2.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Boston College 17- 6 11 0 +++ 11.40 422 A North Carolina 11-15 -4 -10 +++ 6.30 308 A Stanford 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.32 321 A Virginia Tech 15- 9 6 2 + 3.53 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 14- 6 -17.98 22.19 1.37 1.02 48.00
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 10-17 -11.19 28.97 1.37 1.02 -5.01
3 H Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 13-14 -5.68 34.49 -1.37 1.02 -3.59
3 A Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 15-14 -9.93 30.24 1.37 1.02 64.42
3 H East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 18-10 -16.36 23.80 -1.37 1.02 45.72
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 16- 7 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 1.02 44.26
3 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 17- 6 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 1.02 64.46
3 A Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 10-11 -3.98 36.19 1.37 1.02 -1.33
3 H Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 16-14 -13.96 26.20 -1.37 1.02 50.61
3 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 12-14 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 1.02 -6.35
3 A Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 15- 9 -12.77 27.39 1.37 1.02 58.62
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 17-13 -16.96 23.21 1.37 1.02 50.09
3 A Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 15-10 -17.14 23.02 1.37 1.02 49.71
3 H Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 9-10 -6.81 33.36 -1.37 1.02 -4.17
3 A Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 5-17 -5.16 35.01 1.37 1.02 -1.93
3 H North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 5-11 -0.00 40.17 -1.37 1.02 -0.70
3 A North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 11-15 -0.00 40.17 1.37 1.02 -0.70
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452.12
|
winning pts = 475.8962 losing points = -23.7728
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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